How to Pick the Stars vs. Lightning Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – November 23

Published 4:39 pm Friday, November 22, 2024

For the upcoming battle between the Dallas Stars and the Tampa Bay Lightning on Saturday at 7:00 PM ET, we have highlighted the best bets to consider, along with our picks and predictions, in the article below.

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Stars vs. Lightning Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6 (model projecting 6.3 goals)

  • Dallas and its opponent have combined for more than Saturday’s over/under of 6 goals 10 times this season.
  • This season, nine of Tampa Bay’s games have featured more than 6 goals.
  • The Stars score 3.39 goals per game, compared to the Lightning’s average of 3.67, adding up to 1.1 more goals than this contest’s total of 6.
  • The 5.3 goals per game these two teams concede are 0.7 less than the total set for this contest.

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Moneyline Pick

Stars Moneyline: -111

  • The Stars have won 71.4% of their games when they’ve been a moneyline favorite this season (10-4).
  • Dallas is 10-4 in games it has played with moneyline odds of -111 or shorter (71.4% win percentage).
  • The Stars’ implied moneyline win probability is 52.6% in this matchup.

Lightning Moneyline: -108

  • Tampa Bay has claimed an upset victory three times when playing as the underdog on the moneyline this season (in six games as the underdog).
  • The Lightning have three wins in games when their odds are -108 or longer on the moneyline (in six opportunities).
  • Tampa Bay’s moneyline gives it an implied probability of 51.9% to win this contest.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Tampa Bay 4, Dallas 2

Stars Points Leaders

  • With 10 goals and 11 assists this season, Matt Duchene is one of Dallas’ leading contributors (21 points).
  • Mason Marchment has 18 points (six goals, 12 assists) to add to the team’s offensive efforts.
  • On 33 shots (for seven goals) and eight assists, Tyler Seguin has recorded 15 points this season.
  • In the 13 games Jake Oettinger has played this season, his save percentage is .917, 13th in the league.

Lightning Points Leaders

  • Nikita Kucherov is a leading scorer for Tampa Bay, with 28 points this season. He has put up 11 goals and 17 assists in 18 games.
  • Anthony Cirelli’s 19 points this season, including six goals and 13 assists, make him one of the top offensive threats for Tampa Bay.
  • Brandon Hagel has nine goals and 10 assists for Dallas.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy has a 9-5-1 record this season, with a .919 save percentage (12th in the league). In 15 games, he has 351 saves, and has conceded 31 goals (2.1 goals against average).

Stars’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
11/16/2024 Wild W 2-1 Away -152
11/18/2024 Ducks L 4-2 Home -452
11/20/2024 Sharks W 5-2 Home -490
11/23/2024 Lightning Away -111
11/25/2024 Hurricanes Away
11/27/2024 Blackhawks Away
11/29/2024 Avalanche Home

Lightning’s Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
11/16/2024 Devils W 4-0 Home -106
11/19/2024 Penguins W 3-2 Away -166
11/21/2024 Blue Jackets L 7-6 Away -184
11/23/2024 Stars Home -108
11/25/2024 Avalanche Home
11/27/2024 Capitals Home
11/29/2024 Predators Away

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Dallas vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

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