The Atlanta Hawks (16-15) are at home in Southeast Division action against the Miami Heat (15-13) on Saturday, December 28, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET. The Hawks are 2.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• How to watch on TV: NBA TV, FDSSE, and FDSSUN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: State Farm Arena

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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction

• Prediction: –
  Heat 115 – Hawks 114

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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
• Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.7)
• Pick OU:

  Over (226.5)
  

• Computer Predicted Total: 228.3

• The Heat sport a 14-14-0 ATS record this season compared to the 13-18-0 mark from the Hawks.
• Atlanta covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point favorite or more 23.1% of the time. That’s less often than Miami covers as an underdog of 2.5 or more (50%).
• Atlanta’s games have gone over the total 64.5% of the time this season (20 out of 31), which is more often than Miami’s games have (15 out of 28).
• The Hawks have a .500 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (7-7) this season while the Heat have a .364 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (4-7).

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Hawks Performance Insights

• The Hawks’ defense ranks fourth-worst in the NBA with 119.5 points allowed per contest, but their offense has played better, putting up 117.2 points per game (eighth-ranked in league).
• Atlanta is top-five this year in rebounding, ranking fourth-best in the league with 46 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 17th with 44 rebounds allowed per contest.
• With 29.7 assists per game, the Hawks rank third-best in the league in the category.
• Although Atlanta is committing 15.8 turnovers per game (fourth-worst in NBA), it ranks fifth-best in the league by forcing 15.9 turnovers per contest.
• This year, the Hawks are sinking 12.6 three-pointers per game (20th-ranked in NBA) and are shooting 35.1% (18th-ranked) from downtown.

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Heat Performance Insights

• On offense the Heat are the 19th-ranked team in the league (111.3 points per game). Defensively they are sixth (108.6 points conceded per game).
• In 2024-25, Miami is 19th in the league in rebounds (43.3 per game) and 24th in rebounds conceded (45.2).
• The Heat are 14th in the league in assists (25.6 per game) in 2024-25.
• In terms of turnovers, Miami is fourth-best in the league in committing them (12.5 per game). It is 10th in forcing them (14.4 per game).
• Beyond the arc, the Heat are ninth in the league in 3-pointers made per game (14.6). They are fifth-best in 3-point percentage at 37.8%.

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