How to Pick the Lightning vs. Rangers Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – December 28

Published 12:39 pm Friday, December 27, 2024

Saturday’s NHL slate features a contest between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the New York Rangers at Amalie Arena, with the puck dropping at 7:00 PM ET. Whether you’re looking to place a single bet or plan to build a parlay, you’ll want to check out our picks and projections in the piece below.

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Lightning vs. Rangers Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6 (model projecting 6.3 goals)

  • Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined for more than Saturday’s total of 6 goals 19 times this season.
  • This season, 17 of New York’s games have featured more than 6 goals.
  • The Lightning score 3.94 goals per game, compared to the Rangers’ average of 2.82, adding up to 0.8 more goals than this contest’s over/under of 6.
  • These two teams give up a combined 5.8 goals per game, 0.2 less than this one’s over/under.

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Moneyline Pick

Lightning Moneyline: -162

  • The Lightning have won 70.0% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (14-6).
  • In games it has played with moneyline odds of -162 or shorter, Tampa Bay has compiled a 5-3 record (winning 62.5% of its games).
  • The Lightning’s implied moneyline win probability is 61.8% in this game.

Rangers Moneyline: +135

  • In eight games as an underdog on the moneyline, New York has achieved the upset twice.
  • The Rangers have one victory in matches with moneyline odds of +135 or longer (in three chances).
  • New York has a 42.6% implied probability to win this game.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Tampa Bay 5, New York 2

Lightning Points Leaders

  • With 15 goals and 34 assists this season, Nikita Kucherov is one of Tampa Bay’s top contributors (49 points).
  • Having scored 22 goals and adding 17 assists, Brayden Point is a top contributor for Tampa Bay through 28 games.
  • Tampa Bay’s offensive effort is aided by Brandon Hagel’s 39 points. He’s contributed 23 assists.
  • Across 26 games played, Andrei Vasilevskiy has a goaltending record of 15-10-1. During those games, he’s allowed 61 goals while recording 615 saves.

Rangers Points Leaders

  • Artemi Panarin has recorded 15 goals (0.4 per game) and collected 21 assists (0.6 per game), averaging 2.9 shots per game and shooting 15.2%. That makes him among the leaders for New York with 36 total points (1.1 per game).
  • Adam Fox’s 26 points this season, including one goal and 25 assists, make him one of the top offensive threats for New York.
  • Will Cuylle has 11 goals and 13 assists, for a season point total of 24.
  • New York’s Igor Shesterkin is 11-13-1 this season, compiling 716 saves and permitting 69 goals (2.9 goals against average) with a .912 save percentage (10th-best in the league).

Lightning’s Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
12/19/2024 Blues W 3-1 Home -224
12/22/2024 Panthers L 4-2 Home +103
12/23/2024 Panthers W 4-0 Away +136
12/28/2024 Rangers Home -162
12/29/2024 Canadiens Home
1/2/2025 Sharks Away
1/4/2025 Kings Away

Rangers’ Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
12/20/2024 Stars W 3-1 Away +153
12/22/2024 Hurricanes L 3-1 Home +129
12/23/2024 Devils L 5-0 Away +201
12/28/2024 Lightning Away +135
12/30/2024 Panthers Away
1/2/2025 Bruins Home
1/4/2025 Capitals Away

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Tampa Bay vs. New York Game Info

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