How to Pick the Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – January 20

Published 12:39 pm Sunday, January 19, 2025

Monday’s game that pits the Toronto Maple Leafs versus the Tampa Bay Lightning, which begins at 7:30 PM ET, includes plenty of betting possibilities. Below, we cover the best bets for this matchup, so take a look before making any wagers.

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Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 6.5 (model projecting 6.2 goals)

  • This season, Toronto and its opponent have combined to outscore Monday’s over/under of 6.5 goals 20 times.
  • There have been 19 Tampa Bay games with more than 6.5 goals this season.
  • The Maple Leafs score 3.13 goals per game, compared to the Lightning’s average of 3.66, adding up to 0.3 more goals than this contest’s over/under of 6.5.
  • The 5.6 goals per game these two teams concede are 0.9 less than the total set for this contest.

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Moneyline Pick

Maple Leafs Moneyline: -136

  • The Maple Leafs are 22-13 when favored on the moneyline this season.
  • Toronto is 18-9 (winning 66.7% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -136 or shorter.
  • Based on the moneyline in this game, the Maple Leafs’ implied win probability is 57.6%.

Lightning Moneyline: +114

  • In 15 games as the moneyline underdog, Tampa Bay has achieved the upset six times.
  • The Lightning have won three games with moneyline odds of +114 or longer (in seven such games).
  • Tampa Bay has a 46.7% chance to win this matchup (implied from the moneyline odds).

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Toronto 4, Tampa Bay 3

Maple Leafs Points Leaders

  • A leading offensive player this season for Toronto, Mitchell Marner has put up 64 points.
  • William Nylander has 27 goals and 21 assists for Toronto to compile 48 total points (1.0 per game).
  • Toronto’s offensive effort is aided by John Tavares’ 48 points. He’s contributed 22 assists.
  • In the 24 games Joseph Woll has played this season, his save percentage is .907, 21st in the league.

Lightning Points Leaders

  • Nikita Kucherov is among the top options on offense for Tampa Bay, with 67 points this season. He has recorded 21 goals and 46 assists in 42 games.
  • Brandon Hagel’s 49 points this season, including 20 goals and 29 assists, make him one of the top offensive threats for Tampa Bay.
  • Brayden Point has 27 goals and 22 assists for Toronto.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy has a 20-13-2 record this season, with a .915 save percentage (12th in the league). In 35 games, he has 869 saves, and has allowed 81 goals (2.4 goals against average).

Maple Leafs’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
1/14/2025 Stars L 4-1 Home +106
1/16/2025 Devils W 4-3 Home +110
1/18/2025 Canadiens W 7-3 Away -143
1/20/2025 Lightning Home -136
1/22/2025 Blue Jackets Home
1/25/2025 Senators Away
1/29/2025 Wild Home

Lightning’s Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
1/14/2025 Bruins L 6-2 Away -146
1/16/2025 Ducks W 4-3 Home -331
1/18/2025 Red Wings W 5-1 Home -203
1/20/2025 Maple Leafs Away +114
1/21/2025 Canadiens Away
1/24/2025 Blackhawks Away
1/25/2025 Red Wings Away

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Toronto vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

  • Date: Monday, January 20, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: NHL Network
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

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