Florida State vs. Notre Dame Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 4

Published 3:28 pm Monday, February 3, 2025

Tuesday’s game at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center has the Florida State Seminoles (13-9, 4-7 ACC) squaring off against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-11, 4-6 ACC) at 7:00 PM (on February 4). Our computer prediction projects a 76-70 win for Florida State, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

Based on our computer prediction, Florida State is a good bet to cover the point spread, which is listed at 1.5. The two teams are projected to go over the 142.5 total.

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Florida State vs. Notre Dame Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, February 4, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ACC Network
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Tallahassee, Florida
  • Venue: Donald L. Tucker Civic Center
  • Line: Florida State -1.5
  • Point total: 142.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Florida State -120, Notre Dame +100

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Florida State vs. Notre Dame Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Florida State 76, Notre Dame 70

Spread & Total Prediction for Florida State vs. Notre Dame

  • Pick ATS: Florida State (-1.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (142.5)

Florida State is 12-10-0 against the spread, while Notre Dame’s ATS record this season is 12-9-0. The Seminoles have gone over the point total in 11 games, while Fighting Irish games have gone over 10 times. The teams combine to score 151 points per game, 8.5 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 games, Florida State has a 4-6 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall. Notre Dame has gone 6-4 against the spread and 4-6 overall in its last 10 matches.

Bet on this or any men’s college basketball matchup at BetMGM.

Florida State Performance Insights

  • The Seminoles have a +127 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.8 points per game. They’re putting up 77.2 points per game to rank 104th in college basketball and are giving up 71.4 per contest to rank 181st in college basketball.
  • Florida State averages 32.3 rebounds per game (179th in college basketball) compared to the 31.6 of its opponents.
  • Florida State knocks down 6.5 three-pointers per game (308th in college basketball), 1.7 fewer than its opponents (8.2). It is shooting 32.7% from deep (248th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 32%.
  • The Seminoles average 95.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (181st in college basketball), and allow 88.6 points per 100 possessions (90th in college basketball).
  • Florida State has committed 1.7 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 12.2 (261st in college basketball play) while forcing 13.9 (39th in college basketball).

Notre Dame Performance Insights

  • The Fighting Irish are outscoring opponents by 3.8 points per game, with a +79 scoring differential overall. They put up 73.8 points per game (203rd in college basketball) and give up 70 per contest (129th in college basketball).
  • Notre Dame wins the rebound battle by 4.1 boards on average. It collects 32.2 rebounds per game, 188th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 28.1.
  • Notre Dame makes 8.3 three-pointers per game (123rd in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.6 on average.
  • Notre Dame and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Fighting Irish commit 9.8 per game (36th in college basketball) and force 9.2 (347th in college basketball).

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