NBA Best Bets: Hawks vs. Heat Picks for February 24

Published 5:33 am Monday, February 24, 2025

The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) are favored (-1.5) to end a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) at 7:30 PM ET on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena. The game airs on FDSSE and FDSSUN.

For the best bets you can make on Monday’s game, based on our computer predictions, see below.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info

  • When: Monday, February 24, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
  • Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
  • TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Hawks vs. Heat Best Bets

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Trae Young Over 28.5 PTS

  • Trae Young’s 24.2 points per game average is 4.3 fewer than Monday’s over/under.
  • Young has gone up against a points prop bet in 53 games this season, and he’s exceeded the total 27 times.
  • The Hawks are at the seventh spot in the NBA’s scoring rankings (117 points per game), while the Heat concede the eighth-lowest amount of points (110.9 per game).
  • Atlanta has a 22-18 record when finishing with more points than 110.9.

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Tyler Herro Over 26.5 PTS

  • The 24.2 points Tyler Herro scores per game are 2.3 less than his prop total on Monday.
  • Herro has had a points prop in 53 games this season, and has hit the over 29 times.
  • Miami is the NBA’s 24th-ranked team offensively (110.1 points per game), while Atlanta is 28th-ranked on defense (119.6 conceded).
  • Miami has put together a 9-4 record when it scores more than 119.6 points.

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Pick ATS: Hawks (- 1.5)

  • Atlanta has 27 wins in 57 games against the spread this season.
  • Miami is 25-30-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Hawks have an ATS record of 5-15 as 1.5-point favorites or greater.
  • The Heat have an ATS record of 10-15 as 1.5-point underdogs or greater.

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Pick OU:

Under (230.5)

  • The Hawks’ 57 games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 230.5 points 36 times.
  • The Heat have combined with their opponent to score more than 230.5 points in 21 of 55 games this season.
  • Atlanta has an average total of 234.7 in its contests this year, 4.2 more points than this game’s over/under.
  • The average total for Miami’s games this season is 219.2 points, 11.3 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
  • The Heat are the NBA’s 27th-highest scoring team this season compared to the seventh-ranked Hawks.
  • This outing features the NBA’s third-ranked (Heat) and 29th-ranked (Hawks) scoring defenses.

Bet on this game’s total with BetMGM

Moneyline Pick: Hawks (-120)

  • This season, the Hawks have won nine out of the 19 games, or 47.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • The Heat have been victorious in eight, or 33.3%, of the 24 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Atlanta has won nine of its 19 games, or 47.4%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
  • This season, Miami has come away with a win six times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Hawks.

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