Wanting to place some wagers on the upcoming contest (Saturday at 12:30 p.m. ET) between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Washington Capitals at Capital One Arena Below, we provide our best bets, along with our picks and predictions for this matchup.

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Lightning vs. Capitals Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6 (model projecting 6.2 goals)

• This season, Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to outscore Saturday’s total of 6 goals 31 times.
• In Washington’s 59 games this season, 32 have finished with more goals than Saturday’s total of 6.
• The Lightning score 3.57 goals per game, compared to the Capitals’ average of 3.63, adding up to 1.2 more goals than this contest’s over/under of 6.
• This game’s over/under is 0.8 more than the 5.2 goals these two teams concede per game combined.

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Moneyline Pick

Lightning Moneyline: -111

• The Lightning are 28-14 when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
• Tampa Bay is 28-14 in games it has played with moneyline odds of -111 or shorter (66.7% win percentage).
• The implied moneyline probability for this game says the Lightning have a 52.6% chance to win.

Capitals Moneyline: -109

• Washington has 17 wins when playing as the moneyline underdog this season (which has happened 25 times).
• The Capitals have 17 victories in games with moneyline odds of -109 or longer (in 25 chances).
• Washington has a 52.2% chance to win this matchup (implied from the moneyline odds).

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Washington 4, Tampa Bay 2

Lightning Points Leaders

• With 27 goals and 58 assists this season, Nikita Kucherov is one of Tampa Bay’s leading contributors (85 points).
• Brandon Hagel has 29 goals and 38 assists for Tampa Bay to compile 67 total points (1.2 per game).
• With 60 points through 53 games (31 goals and 29 assists), Brayden Point has been an important part of Tampa Bay’s offensive efforts this season.
• Across 46 games played, Andrei Vasilevskiy has a goaltending record of 28-15-3. During those games, he’s allowed 100 goals while recording 1182 saves.

Capitals Points Leaders

• Dylan Strome is a top offensive contributor for his squad with 59 points (one per game). He has recorded 18 goals and 41 assists in 59 games (playing 17:32 per game).
• Aliaksei Protas’ 50 points this season, including 23 goals and 27 assists, make him one of the top offensive threats for Washington.
• Pierre-Luc Dubois has 14 goals and 35 assists for Tampa Bay.
• Logan Thompson has a .919 save percentage (fifth-best in the league), with 855 total saves, while allowing 75 goals (2.3 goals against average). He has put up a 25-3-5 record between the posts for Washington this season.

Lightning’s Schedule

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Capitals’ Schedule

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Tampa Bay vs. Washington Game Info

• Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
• How to watch on TV: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Venue: Capital One Arena

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