How to Pick the Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – October 21
Published 12:40 pm Sunday, October 20, 2024
The matchup between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Tampa Bay Lightning at 7:30 PM ET on Monday has lots of betting possibilities to consider. With that in mind, here’s an in-depth look at our best bets, along with picks and predictions.
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Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Picks
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Total Pick
Pick OU: Under 6.5 (model projecting 5.9 goals)
- Of Toronto’s 89 games last season, 46 finished above this game’s total of 6.5 goals.
- Tampa Bay played 44 games last season with more than 6.5 goals.
- The two teams combined to score 7.1 goals per game, 0.6 more than this one’s total.
- These two teams allowed a combined 6.4 goals per game, 0.1 fewer than this one’s total.
- The Maple Leafs were second in goals scored in the league, and the Lightning were fifth.
- The Lightning were 22nd in the league in goals allowed, and the Maple Leafs were 21st.
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Moneyline Pick
Maple Leafs Moneyline: -145
- The Maple Leafs were favored on the moneyline 67 times last season, and went 39-28 in those games.
- Toronto had a 25-15 record (winning 62.5% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -145 or shorter.
- The Maple Leafs have an implied moneyline win probability of 59.2% in this game.
Lightning Moneyline: +123
- The Lightning were an underdog 35 times last season, and upset their opponent 15 times.
- Tampa Bay was 4-7 last season when oddsmakers made them underdogs of +123 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline implies a 44.8% chance of victory for the Lightning.
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Score Prediction
Prediction:
Toronto 4, Tampa Bay 3
Maple Leafs Points Leaders (2023-24)
- Auston Matthews was important to Toronto’s offense last season, racking up 107 points in 81 games.
- William Nylander had 40 goals and 58 assists for Toronto last season, totaling 98 points (1.2 per game).
- On 158 shots, Mitchell Marner generated 85 points (26 goals, 59 assists) for Toronto last season.
- In the 27 games Anthony Stolarz played a season ago, his save percentage was .925, fourth-best in the league.
Lightning Points Leaders (2023-24)
- Nikita Kucherov had 44 goals (0.5 per game) and 100 assists (1.2 per game) last season, taking 3.7 shots per game and shooting 14.4%. That made him among the leaders for Tampa Bay with 144 total points (1.8 per game).
- Brayden Point was a top contributor for Tampa Bay, with 90 total points. He scored 46 goals and provided 44 assists in 81 games.
- Tampa Bay’s Jake Guentzel had 77 points, courtesy of 30 goals (third on team) and 47 assists (fourth).
- Andrei Vasilevskiy had a .900 save percentage (40th in the league) last season, conceding 148 goals (2.9 goals against average). He compiled a 30-20-2 record between the pipes for Tampa Bay.
Maple Leafs’ Schedule
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Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
10/12/2024 | Penguins | W 4-2 | Home | -187 |
10/16/2024 | Kings | W 6-2 | Home | -196 |
10/19/2024 | Rangers | L 4-1 | Home | -127 |
10/21/2024 | Lightning | – | Home | -145 |
10/22/2024 | Blue Jackets | – | Away | – |
10/24/2024 | Blues | – | Home | – |
10/26/2024 | Bruins | – | Away | – |
Lightning’s Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
10/15/2024 | Canucks | W 4-1 | Home | -135 |
10/17/2024 | Golden Knights | W 4-3 | Home | -152 |
10/19/2024 | Senators | L 5-4 | Away | -133 |
10/21/2024 | Maple Leafs | – | Away | +123 |
10/22/2024 | Devils | – | Away | – |
10/24/2024 | Wild | – | Home | – |
10/26/2024 | Capitals | – | Home | – |
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Toronto vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
- Date: Monday, October 21, 2024
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- How to watch on TV: NHL Network
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Location: Toronto, Ontario
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
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