How to Pick the Lightning vs. Capitals Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – October 26

Published 12:40 pm Friday, October 25, 2024

On Saturday, October 26 at 7:00 PM ET, the Tampa Bay Lightning are slated to take on the Washington Capitals at Amalie Arena. For best bets, picks, and predictions for this matchup, continue reading.

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Lightning vs. Capitals Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6.5 (model projecting 7.4 goals)

  • Four Tampa Bay games this season have gone over Saturday’s total of 6.5 goals.
  • Three of Washington’s games have finished with over 6.5 goals this season.
  • The total for this game (6.5) is 1.8 less than the combined scoring averages for the Lightning (4) and Capitals (4.33).
  • This game’s total is 0.1 more than the 6.4 goals these two teams allow per game combined.

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Moneyline Pick

Lightning Moneyline: -164

  • The Lightning have been victorious in two of their four games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (50.0%).
  • Tampa Bay has not played a game this season shorter than -164 moneyline odds.
  • Based on the moneyline in this contest, the Lightning’s implied win probability is 62.1%.

Capitals Moneyline: +137

  • Washington has earned an upset victory four times when playing as the underdog on the moneyline this season (in five games as the underdog).
  • The Capitals won their only match with moneyline odds of +137 or longer.
  • Washington’s implied probability to win this game is 42.2% based on the moneyline.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Tampa Bay 4, Washington 3

Lightning Points Leaders

  • Nikita Kucherov has been important to Tampa Bay’s offense this season, recording 12 points in seven games.
  • With six goals and three assists, Brandon Hagel is one of the most important offensive options for Tampa Bay with his nine points (1.3 per game).
  • Through seven games, Anthony Cirelli has proven himself as another option for Tampa Bay. He has nine points (one goal and eight assists).
  • As Tampa Bay’s top goalie, Andrei Vasilevskiy has recorded 3 wins and 3 losses this season while allowing 17 goals with 115 saves.

Capitals Points Leaders

  • Dylan Strome has scored three goals (0.5 per game) and collected six assists (1.0 per game), averaging 1.8 shots per game and shooting 27.3%. That makes him among the leaders for Washington with nine total points (1.5 per game).
  • Connor McMichael is a top scorer for Washington, with eight total points this season. He has netted three goals and provided five assists in six contests.
  • Washington’s Tom Wilson has six points, courtesy of five goals (first on team) and one assist (11th).
  • Washington’s Logan Thompson is 3-0-0 this season, compiling 76 saves and allowing 10 goals (3.3 goals against average) with an .884 save percentage (43rd in the league).

Lightning’s Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
10/21/2024 Maple Leafs L 5-2 Away +116
10/22/2024 Devils W 8-5 Away +130
10/24/2024 Wild L 4-2 Home -161
10/26/2024 Capitals Home -164
10/28/2024 Predators Home
10/30/2024 Avalanche Away
11/1/2024 Wild Away

Capitals’ Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
10/19/2024 Devils W 6-5 Away +150
10/22/2024 Flyers W 4-1 Away +117
10/23/2024 Flyers W 6-3 Home -146
10/26/2024 Lightning Away +137
10/29/2024 Rangers Home
10/31/2024 Canadiens Home
11/2/2024 Blue Jackets Home

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Tampa Bay vs. Washington Game Info

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