Jaguars vs. Dolphins Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1

Published 4:37 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024

A victory by the Miami Dolphins over the Jacksonville Jaguars is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming matchup, on Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET (at Hard Rock Stadium). For more information, including the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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On offense, the Dolphins were a top-five unit last season, ranking second-best in the NFL by compiling 29.2 points per game. They ranked 22nd on defense (23 points allowed per game). The Jaguars ranked 13th in total offense (339.5 yards per game) and 22nd in total defense (342.8 yards allowed per game) last year.

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Jaguars vs. Dolphins Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Dolphins (-3.5) Under (49) Dolphins 26, Jaguars 21

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Jaguars Betting Info

  • The Jaguars have a 40.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Jacksonville went 9-8-0 ATS last year.
  • The Jaguars covered the spread once when an underdog by 3.5 points or more last season (in two opportunities).
  • Last year, eight Jacksonville games went over the point total.
  • Games involving the Jaguars last year averaged 43 points per game, a six-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Dolphins Betting Info

  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Dolphins’ implied win probability is 63.6%.
  • Miami went 10-7-0 ATS last season.
  • The Dolphins were favored by 3.5 points or more nine times last season, and covered the spread in seven of those games.
  • A total of nine Miami games last season went over the point total.
  • The over/under for this game is 49 points, two more than the average point total for Dolphins games a year ago.

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Jaguars vs. Dolphins 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Dolphins 29.2 23 31.9 17.3 26.1 29.4
Jaguars 22.2 21.8 20.8 20.7 23.8 23.1

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