Jaguars vs. Patriots Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 7

Published 12:36 pm Saturday, October 19, 2024

The Jacksonville Jaguars will meet the New England Patriots at Wembley Stadium on Sunday, Oct. 20 at 9:30 a.m. ET. Our computer model projects the Jaguars will win — see below for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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With 390 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks second-worst in the NFL, the Jaguars have been forced to rely on their 18th-ranked offense (319.5 yards per contest) to keep them competitive. The Patriots rank third-worst in total yards per game (257.5), but they’ve been better defensively, ranking 25th in the NFL with 358.8 total yards ceded per contest.

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Jaguars vs. Patriots Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Patriots (+6) Over (42) Jaguars 22, Patriots 21

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Jaguars Betting Info

  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Jaguars’ implied win probability is 71.4%.
  • Jacksonville has a record of 2-4-0 against the spread this season.
  • In Jacksonville’s six games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.
  • Jaguars games average 45.2 total points per game this season (playoffs included), 3.2 greater than the over/under for this matchup.

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Patriots Betting Info

  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Patriots have a 33.3% chance to win.
  • New England has a record of just 1-4-1 against the spread this year.
  • The Patriots have been an underdog by 6 points or more four times this year, and covered the spread in one of those games.
  • In 2024, three New England games have hit the over.
  • The over/under for this game is 2.7 points higher than the average scoring total for Patriots games (39.3).

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Jaguars vs. Patriots 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Jaguars 18.8 29.7 25 26 15.8 31.5
Patriots 13.8 23.8 17 26.3 10.7 21.3

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