How to Pick the Lightning vs. Penguins Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – January 12
Published 12:39 am Sunday, January 12, 2025
Sunday’s game that pits the Tampa Bay Lightning against the Pittsburgh Penguins, which begins at 5:00 PM ET, features plenty of betting possibilities. Below, we go over the best bets for this matchup, so take a peek before making any wagers.
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Lightning vs. Penguins Picks
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Total Pick
Pick OU: Over 6.5 (model projecting 6.6 goals)
- This season, Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to outscore Sunday’s total of 6.5 goals 16 times.
- A total of 24 of Pittsburgh’s games have finished with over 6.5 goals this season.
- The Lightning score 3.65 goals per game, compared to the Penguins’ average of 3, adding up to 0.2 more goals than this contest’s over/under of 6.5.
- This game’s over/under is 0.1 more than the 6.4 goals these two teams concede per game combined.
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Moneyline Pick
Lightning Moneyline: -146
- The Lightning have won 64.0% of their games when they’ve been a moneyline favorite this season (16-9).
- Tampa Bay is 9-8 (winning 52.9% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -146 or shorter.
- The Lightning’s implied moneyline win probability is 59.3% in this contest.
Penguins Moneyline: +123
- Pittsburgh has 10 wins when playing as the underdog on the moneyline this season (which has happened 33 times).
- The Penguins have won seven games with moneyline odds of +123 or longer (in 22 such games).
- Pittsburgh’s moneyline gives it an implied probability of 44.8% to win this game.
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Score Prediction
Prediction:
Tampa Bay 4, Pittsburgh 3
Lightning Points Leaders
- Nikita Kucherov is one of Tampa Bay’s top contributors this season with 58 points. He has averaged 0.5 goals per game, shooting 13.5%.
- Having scored 25 goals and adding 22 assists, Brayden Point is an important piece of the offense for Tampa Bay through 36 games.
- With 46 points through 40 games (19 goals and 27 assists), Brandon Hagel has been an important part of Tampa Bay’s offensive efforts this season.
- In the 32 games Andrei Vasilevskiy has played this season, his save percentage is .914, 13th in the league.
Penguins Points Leaders
- Sidney Crosby has totaled 12 goals (0.3 per game) and put up 35 assists (0.8 per game), averaging 2.9 shots per game and shooting 9.4%. That makes him among the leaders for Pittsburgh with 47 total points (1.1 per game).
- Rickard Rakell’s 35 points this season, including 21 goals and 14 assists, make him one of the top offensive threats for Pittsburgh.
- Pittsburgh’s Bryan Rust has 32 points (16 goals, 16 assists) this season.
- Tristan Jarry’s record stands at 8-6-4 on the season, giving up 63 goals (3.3 goals against average) and collecting 502 saves with an .890 save percentage (52nd in the league).
Lightning’s Schedule
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Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/7/2025 | Hurricanes | W 3-2 | Home | -103 |
1/9/2025 | Bruins | W 4-1 | Home | -166 |
1/11/2025 | Devils | L 3-2 | Away | +120 |
1/12/2025 | Penguins | – | Away | -146 |
1/14/2025 | Bruins | – | Away | – |
1/16/2025 | Ducks | – | Home | – |
1/18/2025 | Red Wings | – | Home | – |
Penguins’ Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/7/2025 | Blue Jackets | L 4-3 | Home | -154 |
1/9/2025 | Oilers | W 5-3 | Home | +187 |
1/11/2025 | Senators | L 5-0 | Home | -102 |
1/12/2025 | Lightning | – | Home | +123 |
1/14/2025 | Kraken | – | Home | – |
1/17/2025 | Sabres | – | Away | – |
1/18/2025 | Capitals | – | Away | – |
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Tampa Bay vs. Pittsburgh Game Info
- Date: Sunday, January 12, 2025
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- How to watch on TV: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
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