How to Pick the Lightning vs. Canadiens Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – January 21

Published 12:39 am Tuesday, January 21, 2025

Looking for best bets for the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Montreal Canadiens on Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET? You’ve found the right spot. In the piece below, we offer our picks and predictions to help you make informed betting decisions for this matchup.

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Lightning vs. Canadiens Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6 (model projecting 6.5 goals)

  • Tampa Bay and its opponent have hit the over on this game’s total (6 goals) 26 times this season.
  • This season, 28 of Montreal’s games have featured more than 6 goals.
  • The over/under for this game (6) is 0.7 less than the combined scoring averages for the Lightning (3.64) and Canadiens (3.04).
  • These two teams are conceding a combined 6.2 goals per game, 0.2 more than this contest’s over/under.

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Moneyline Pick

Lightning Moneyline: -152

  • In the 29 times this season the Lightning have been favored on the moneyline, they have gone 19-10 in those games.
  • Tampa Bay is 12-8 when playing with moneyline odds of -152 or shorter (60.0% win percentage).
  • The Lightning’s implied moneyline win probability is 60.3% in this game.

Canadiens Moneyline: +127

  • Montreal has pulled off an upset victory 21 times when playing as the underdog on the moneyline this season (in 43 games as the underdog).
  • The Canadiens have 14 wins in games when their odds are +127 or longer on the moneyline (in 28 opportunities).
  • Montreal has a 44.1% chance to win this game (implied from the moneyline odds).

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Tampa Bay 4, Montreal 3

Lightning Points Leaders

  • With 21 goals and 47 assists this season, Nikita Kucherov is one of Tampa Bay’s leading contributors (68 points).
  • Having scored 20 goals and adding 30 assists, Brandon Hagel is excelling for Tampa Bay through 45 games.
  • On 92 shots (for 27 goals) and 23 assists, Brayden Point has contributed 50 points this season.
  • As Tampa Bay’s top goalie, Andrei Vasilevskiy has recorded 20 wins and 13 losses this season while allowing 81 goals with 869 saves.

Canadiens Points Leaders

  • Nicholas Suzuki is a key offensive option for Montreal, with 47 points this season. He has recorded 14 goals and 33 assists in 46 games.
  • Montreal’s Cole Caufield has racked up 44 total points (1.0 per game), with 24 goals and 20 assists.
  • Lane Hutson has scored three goals and contributed 33 assists for Montreal, giving him a point total of 36.
  • Samuel Montembeault has an .897 save percentage (43rd in the league), with 839 total saves, while giving up 96 goals (3.0 goals against average). He has put together a 16-16-3 record between the posts for Montreal this season.

Lightning’s Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
1/16/2025 Ducks W 4-3 Home -331
1/18/2025 Red Wings W 5-1 Home -203
1/20/2025 Maple Leafs L 5-3 Away +116
1/21/2025 Canadiens Away -152
1/24/2025 Blackhawks Away
1/25/2025 Red Wings Away
1/28/2025 Blackhawks Home

Canadiens’ Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
1/16/2025 Stars W 3-1 Away +180
1/18/2025 Maple Leafs L 7-3 Home +121
1/19/2025 Rangers W 5-4 Home -103
1/21/2025 Lightning Home +127
1/23/2025 Red Wings Away
1/25/2025 Devils Home
1/28/2025 Jets Home

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Tampa Bay vs. Montreal Game Info

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