Saturday’s NHL slate includes a game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the New York Islanders at Amalie Arena, with the puck dropping at 7:00 PM ET. Whether you’re wanting to place a single bet or plan to build a parlay, you’ll want to check out our picks and projections in the piece below.

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Lightning vs. Islanders Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 6.5 (model projecting 6.0 goals)

• This season, 21 of Tampa Bay’s 50 games have gone over Saturday’s total of 6.5 goals.
• So far this season, 23 games New York has played finished with more than 6.5 goals.
• The Lightning score 3.48 goals per game, compared to the Islanders’ average of 2.72, adding up to 0.3 fewer goals than this contest’s over/under of 6.5.
• These two teams allow a combined 5.6 goals per game, 0.9 less than this one’s over/under.

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Moneyline Pick

Lightning Moneyline: -171

• The Lightning have won 61.8% of their games when they’ve been a moneyline favorite this season (21-13).
• In games it has played with moneyline odds of -171 or shorter, Tampa Bay is 6-7 (winning 46.2% of the time).
• The implied moneyline probability for this game says the Lightning have a 63.1% chance to win.

Islanders Moneyline: +142

• In 25 games as the moneyline underdog, New York has achieved the upset 13 times.
• The Islanders have won four games with moneyline odds of +142 or longer (in eight such games).
• New York’s implied probability to win is 41.3% based on the moneyline odds.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Tampa Bay 4, New York 2

Lightning Points Leaders

• With 23 goals and 51 assists this season, Nikita Kucherov is one of Tampa Bay’s leading contributors (74 points).
• Brandon Hagel has 22 goals and 32 assists for Tampa Bay to compile 54 total points (1.1 per game).
• Brayden Point has created 52 points for Tampa Bay in 45 games this season, netting a goal on 25% of his shots and recording 28 goals and 24 assists.
• In 38 games played this season, Andrei Vasilevskiy (21-15-2) has allowed 85 goals.

Islanders Points Leaders

• Anders Lee is a top offensive contributor for his club with 40 points (0.8 per game). He has recorded 23 goals and 17 assists in 50 games (playing 17:15 per game).
• Bo Horvat has made a major impact for New York this season with 38 points, thanks to 17 goals and 21 assists.
• Kyle Palmieri has 13 goals and 20 assists, for a season point total of 33.
• Ilya Sorokin has an 18-14-4 record this season, with a .907 save percentage (25th in the league). In 36 games, he has 890 saves, and has given up 91 goals (2.6 goals against average).

Lightning’s Schedule

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Islanders’ Schedule

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Tampa Bay vs. New York Game Info

• Date: Saturday, February 1, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• How to watch on TV: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Location: Tampa, Florida
• Venue: Amalie Arena

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