How to Pick the Lightning vs. Senators Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – February 4

Published 12:39 am Tuesday, February 4, 2025

Before the puck drops at 7:00 PM ET in Tuesday’s contest between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Ottawa Senators, here are the best bets you should be considering, whether you’re wanting to place a single wager or have your sights set on building a parlay.

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Lightning vs. Senators Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 5.5 (model projecting 5.9 goals)

  • Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to outscore Tuesday’s total (5.5 goals) 27 times this season.
  • There have been 23 Ottawa games with over 5.5 goals this season.
  • The total for this game (5.5) is 0.8 less than the combined scoring averages for the Lightning (3.45) and Senators (2.87).
  • The 5.4 goals per game these two teams allow are 0.1 less than the over/under set for this contest.

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Moneyline Pick

Lightning Moneyline: -179

  • The Lightning have won 60.0% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (21-14).
  • In games it has played with moneyline odds of -179 or shorter, Tampa Bay is 6-6 (winning 50.0% of the time).
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Lightning have an implied probability of 64.2% to win.

Senators Moneyline: +150

  • Ottawa has 12 wins when playing as the moneyline underdog this season (which has happened 24 times).
  • The Senators have a pair of victories in games with moneyline odds of +150 or longer (in five chances).
  • Ottawa’s implied probability to win is 40.0% based on the moneyline odds.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Tampa Bay 4, Ottawa 2

Lightning Points Leaders

  • Nikita Kucherov is one of Tampa Bay’s leading contributors this season with 75 points. He has averaged 0.5 goals per game, shooting 14%.
  • Having scored 22 goals and adding 32 assists, Brandon Hagel is a strong contributor for Tampa Bay through 51 games.
  • On 115 shots (for 28 goals) and 25 assists, Brayden Point has created 53 points this season.
  • In the 39 games Andrei Vasilevskiy has played this season, his save percentage is .917, the seventh-best in the league.

Senators Points Leaders

  • Tim Stutzle’s 17 goals and 36 assists in 53 matchups give him 53 points on the season, making him a key part of his team’s offense.
  • Drake Batherson is a key contributor for Ottawa, with 43 total points this season. He has netted 15 goals and provided 28 assists in 53 games.
  • Ottawa’s Brady Tkachuk has 41 points, courtesy of 20 goals (first on team) and 21 assists (fifth).
  • Linus Ullmark’s record stands at 12-7-2 on the season, giving up 51 goals (2.4 goals against average) and compiling 550 saves with a .915 save percentage (11th in the league).

Lightning’s Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
1/28/2025 Blackhawks L 4-1 Home -424
1/30/2025 Kings W 3-0 Home -154
2/1/2025 Islanders L 3-2 Home -170
2/4/2025 Senators Home -179
2/6/2025 Senators Home
2/8/2025 Red Wings Away
2/9/2025 Canadiens Away

Senators’ Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
1/30/2025 Capitals W 5-4 Home -111
2/1/2025 Wild W 6-0 Home -144
2/3/2025 Predators W 5-2 Away +114
2/4/2025 Lightning Away +150
2/6/2025 Lightning Away
2/8/2025 Panthers Away
2/22/2025 Canadiens Home

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Tampa Bay vs. Ottawa Game Info

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