Seeking best bets for the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Ottawa Senators on Thursday at 7:00 PM ET? You’ve come to the right place. In the piece below, we provide our picks and predictions to help you make smart betting decisions for this matchup.

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Lightning vs. Senators Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 5.5 (model projecting 5.9 goals)

• This season, Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to outscore Thursday’s over/under of 5.5 goals 28 times.
• This season, 24 of Ottawa’s games have featured more than 5.5 goals.
• The over/under for this game (5.5) is 0.8 less than the combined scoring averages for the Lightning (3.46) and Senators (2.87).
• These two teams give up a combined 5.5 goals per game, 0.0 less than this one’s over/under.

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Moneyline Pick

Lightning Moneyline: -162

• The Lightning have won 61.1% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (22-14).
• When it has played with moneyline odds of -162 or shorter, Tampa Bay has put together a 10-8 record (winning 55.6% of its games).
• The implied moneyline probability for this game says the Lightning have a 61.8% chance to win.

Senators Moneyline: +136

• Ottawa has secured an upset victory 12 times when playing as the underdog on the moneyline this season (in 25 games as the underdog).
• The Senators have three wins in games when their moneyline odds are +136 or longer (in 10 such games).
• Ottawa’s implied probability to win this matchup is 42.4% based on the moneyline.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Tampa Bay 4, Ottawa 2

Lightning Points Leaders

• Nikita Kucherov is one of Tampa Bay’s top contributors this season with 76 points. He has averaged 0.5 goals per game, shooting 14.3%.
• Brandon Hagel is another of Tampa Bay’s important contributors currently with 55 total points (23 goals and 32 assists) to his name.
• Through 47 games, Brayden Point has proven himself as a contributor for Tampa Bay. He has 53 points (28 goals and 25 assists).
• Andrei Vasilevskiy (22-15-3) has a 2.3 goals against average and a save percentage of .917 for Tampa Bay.

Senators Points Leaders

• Ottawa’s Tim Stutzle has recorded 37 assists and 17 goals in 54 games, good for 54 points.
• Drake Batherson is crucial for Ottawa’s offense with 44 total points (0.8 per game), including 16 goals and 28 assists through 54 games.
• Ottawa’s Brady Tkachuk has 41 points, courtesy of 20 goals (first on team) and 21 assists (sixth).
• Linus Ullmark has a .915 save percentage (ninth-best in the league), with 584 total saves, while conceding 54 goals (2.4 goals against average). He has put together a 12-8-2 record between the posts for Ottawa this season.

Lightning’s Schedule

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Senators’ Schedule

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Tampa Bay vs. Ottawa Game Info

• Date: Thursday, February 6, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• How to watch on TV: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Location: Tampa, Florida
• Venue: Amalie Arena

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