Thursday’s game between the No. 22 Florida State Seminoles (18-4) and Virginia Cavaliers (12-11) at John Paul Jones Arena has a projected final score of 80-69 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of heavily favored Florida State, so expect a lopsided matchup. The game will start at 7:00 PM ET on February 6.

According to our computer prediction, Virginia is projected to cover the point spread (12.5) against Florida State. The two teams are expected to come in below the 153.5 total.

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Florida State vs. Virginia Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, February 6, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV channel: ACC Network X
• Where: Charlottesville, Virginia
• Venue: John Paul Jones Arena
• Line: Florida State -12.5
• Point total: 153.5
• Moneyline (to win): Florida State -1099, Virginia +700

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Florida State vs. Virginia Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Florida State 80, Virginia 69

Spread & Total Prediction for Florida State vs. Virginia

• Pick ATS: Virginia (+12.5)
• Pick OU: Under (153.5)

Both Florida State and Virginia are 5-3-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. The Seminoles have a 5-3-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Cavaliers have a record of 1-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams score 162.6 points per game, 9.1 more points than this matchup’s total. Florida State has a 5-3 record against the spread while going 6-2 overall in the last 10 games. Virginia has gone 5-3 against the spread and 3-5 overall in its last 10 games.

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Florida State Performance Insights

• The Seminoles outscore opponents by 22.5 points per game (scoring 92.5 points per game to rank first in college basketball while giving up 70 per outing to rank 300th in college basketball) and have a +496 scoring differential overall.
• The 35.1 rebounds per game Florida State averages rank 67th in the nation, and are 2.9 more than the 32.2 its opponents pull down per outing.
• Florida State connects on 9.5 three-pointers per game (11th in college basketball), 4.1 more than its opponents (5.4).
• The Seminoles record 107.4 points per 100 possessions (first in college basketball), while allowing 81.3 points per 100 possessions (202nd in college basketball).
• Florida State wins the turnover battle by 7.1 per game, committing 10.1 (third in college basketball) while its opponents average 17.2.

Virginia Performance Insights

• The Cavaliers’ +102 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 70.1 points per game (96th in college basketball) while allowing 65.7 per contest (222nd in college basketball).
• Virginia is 41st in college basketball at 36 rebounds per game. That’s 3.6 more than the 32.4 its opponents average.
• Virginia hits 6.9 three-pointers per game (113th in college basketball) at a 31.1% rate (188th in college basketball), compared to the 6.5 its opponents make, shooting 27.4% from beyond the arc.
• Virginia loses the turnover battle by 1.8 per game, committing 16.7 (248th in college basketball) while its opponents average 14.9.

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