Thursday’s game features the No. 23 Florida State Seminoles (19-5) and the Louisville Cardinals (17-7) facing off at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center (on February 13) at 6:00 PM ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in an 80-72 victory for Florida State.

Based on our computer prediction, Louisville projects to cover the 8.5-point spread in its matchup against Florida State. The over/under is listed at 157.5, and the two teams are projected to go under that total.

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Florida State vs. Louisville Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, February 13, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV channel: ACC Network X
• Where: Tallahassee, Florida
• Venue: Donald L. Tucker Civic Center
• Line: Florida State -8.5
• Point total: 157.5
• Moneyline (to win): Florida State -526, Louisville +400

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Florida State vs. Louisville Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Florida State 80, Louisville 72

Spread & Total Prediction for Florida State vs. Louisville

• Pick ATS: Louisville (+8.5)
• Pick OU: Under (157.5)

Florida State has a 6-4-0 record against the spread this season compared to Louisville, who is 9-8-0 ATS. The Seminoles have a 7-3-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Cardinals have a record of 8-9-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams combine to score 165.2 points per game, 7.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Florida State is 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over its last 10 contests, while Louisville has gone 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall.

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Florida State Performance Insights

• The Seminoles’ +506 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 21.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 92.1 points per game (first in college basketball) while giving up 71 per contest (316th in college basketball).
• The 35 rebounds per game Florida State averages rank 73rd in the nation, and are 2.1 more than the 32.9 its opponents collect per contest.
• Florida State makes 9.4 three-pointers per game (11th in college basketball), four more than its opponents (5.4).
• The Seminoles rank first in college basketball by averaging 106.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 209th in college basketball, allowing 82 points per 100 possessions.
• Florida State has committed 6.7 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 10.1 (fifth in college basketball play) while forcing 16.8 (107th in college basketball).

Louisville Performance Insights

• The Cardinals’ +132 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 73.1 points per game (64th in college basketball) while allowing 67.6 per outing (255th in college basketball).
• Louisville prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 2.1 boards. It records 32.5 rebounds per game (161st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 30.4.
• Louisville makes 6.1 three-pointers per game (181st in college basketball) at a 30.8% rate (200th in college basketball), compared to the 6 its opponents make, shooting 33.7% from deep.
• Louisville wins the turnover battle by 3.9 per game, committing 15.7 (196th in college basketball) while its opponents average 19.6.

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