Sunday’s game at Watsco Center has the No. 23 Florida State Seminoles (19-6) matching up with the Miami Hurricanes (13-11) at 2:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 81-70 win, as our model heavily favors Florida State.

According to our computer prediction, Miami (FL) projects to cover the 11.5-point spread in its matchup versus Florida State. The over/under has been set at 157.5, and the two sides are projected to go under that total.

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Florida State vs. Miami (FL) Game Info & Odds

• Date: Sunday, February 16, 2025
• Time: 2:00 PM ET
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Coral Gables, Florida
• Venue: Watsco Center
• Line: Florida State -11.5
• Point total: 157.5
• Moneyline (to win): Florida State -752, Miami (FL) +525

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Florida State vs. Miami (FL) Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Florida State 81, Miami (FL) 70

Spread & Total Prediction for Florida State vs. Miami (FL)

• Pick ATS: Miami (FL) (+11.5)
• Pick OU: Under (157.5)

Florida State is 6-5-0 against the spread this season compared to Miami (FL)’s 5-6-0 ATS record. The Seminoles are 7-4-0 and the Hurricanes are 6-5-0 in terms of going over the point total. The two teams average 161.5 points per game, 4.0 more points than this matchup’s total. Florida State is 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its last 10 contests, while Miami (FL) has gone 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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Florida State Performance Insights

• The Seminoles are outscoring opponents by 19.7 points per game with a +492 scoring differential overall. They put up 91.2 points per game (first in college basketball) and give up 71.5 per outing (321st in college basketball).
• The 34.9 rebounds per game Florida State averages rank 73rd in the nation, and are 1.5 more than the 33.4 its opponents grab per contest.
• Florida State knocks down 9.2 three-pointers per game (13th in college basketball) while shooting 36.8% from beyond the arc (17th in college basketball). It is making 3.7 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 5.5 per game while shooting 31.2%.
• The Seminoles rank first in college basketball with 105.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 218th in college basketball defensively with 82.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Florida State has committed 10.2 turnovers per game (fourth in college basketball action), 6.3 fewer than the 16.5 it forces on average (118th in college basketball).

Miami (FL) Performance Insights

• The Hurricanes are outscoring opponents by 1.2 points per game, with a +29 scoring differential overall. They put up 70.3 points per game (92nd in college basketball) and allow 69.1 per contest (287th in college basketball).
• Miami (FL) wins the rebound battle by 2.8 boards on average. It collects 32.8 rebounds per game, 147th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 30.
• Miami (FL) makes 6.6 three-pointers per game (138th in college basketball) at a 31.7% rate (164th in college basketball), compared to the 8 per contest its opponents make, shooting 31.4% from deep.
• Miami (FL) loses the turnover battle by 1.7 per game, committing 15.3 (172nd in college basketball) while its opponents average 13.6.

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