Hawks vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 24

Published 7:16 am Monday, February 24, 2025

The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) are 1.5-point favorites as they attempt to turn around a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena. The matchup airs at 7:30 PM ET on FDSSE and FDSSUN.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, February 24, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Hawks 115 – Heat 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Hawks (- 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Hawks (-2.0)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (230.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 228.8
  • The Heat (25-30-0 ATS) have covered the spread 47.4% of the time, 1.9% less often than the Hawks (27-30-0) this season.
  • Atlanta (5-15) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 1.5 points or more this season (25%) than Miami (10-15) does as a 1.5+-point underdog (40%).
  • When it comes to eclipsing the total in 2024-25, Miami and its opponents don’t do it as often (54.5% of the time) as Atlanta and its opponents (57.9%).
  • As a moneyline underdog this season, the Heat are 8-16, while the Hawks are 9-10 as moneyline favorites.

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • The Hawks’ offense, which ranks seventh in the league with 117 points per game, has played better than their third-worst defense (119.6 points allowed per game).
  • Atlanta is grabbing 45 rebounds per game (11th-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 44.7 rebounds per contest (20th-ranked).
  • The Hawks have been one of the best teams in the league when it comes to assists, as they are dishing out 29.3 per game (second-best in NBA).
  • Atlanta is second-best in the NBA with 15.8 forced turnovers per game, but it ranks fifth-worst in the league by averaging 15 turnovers per contest.
  • The Hawks are making 13.1 three-pointers per game (15th-ranked in NBA) this year, while sporting a 35% three-point percentage (20th-ranked).

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Heat Performance Insights

  • The Heat put up 110.1 points per game and allow 110.9, making them 24th in the league on offense and eighth on defense.
  • In 2024-25, Miami is 17th in the NBA in rebounds (44.1 per game) and 24th in rebounds conceded (45.6).
  • At 26.1 assists per game, the Heat are 16th in the league.
  • In 2024-25, Miami is fifth-best in the NBA in turnovers committed (12.6 per game) and ranked 24th in turnovers forced (12.5).
  • The Heat are eighth in the league in 3-pointers made (13.9 per game) and 15th in 3-point percentage (35.9%).

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