Thursday’s game features the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (24-3) and the Florida State Seminoles (22-6) facing off at Purcell Pavilion in what should be a lopsided matchup, with a projected 85-70 victory for heavily favored Notre Dame according to our computer prediction. Tipoff is at 8 p.m. ET on February 27.

Based on our computer prediction, Florida State is projected to cover the point spread (17.5) against Notre Dame. The two sides are expected to come in below the 168.5 over/under.

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Notre Dame vs. Florida State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, February 27, 2025
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ACC Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: South Bend, Indiana
• Venue: Purcell Pavilion
• Line: Notre Dame -17.5
• Point total: 168.5
• Moneyline (to win): Notre Dame -2000, Florida State +1000

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Notre Dame vs. Florida State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Notre Dame 85, Florida State 70

Spread & Total Prediction for Notre Dame vs. Florida State

• Pick ATS: Florida State (+17.5)
• Pick OU: Under (168.5)

Notre Dame’s record against the spread this season is 15-11-0, and Florida State’s is 7-6-0. The Fighting Irish have gone over the point total in 15 games, while Seminoles games have gone over eight times. The two teams score 176.2 points per game, 7.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Notre Dame is 5-5 against the spread and 9-1 overall over its last 10 contests, while Florida State has gone 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall.

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Notre Dame Performance Insights

• The Fighting Irish average 86.8 points per game (fourth in college basketball) while allowing 61.3 per contest (103rd in college basketball). They have a +688 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 25.5 points per game.
• Notre Dame records 40.6 rebounds per game (fourth in college basketball) while allowing 29.6 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 11 boards per game.
• Notre Dame knocks down 7.9 three-pointers per game (43rd in college basketball) while shooting 40.6% from beyond the arc (first in college basketball). It is making 2.9 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 5 per game while shooting 25.9%.
• The Fighting Irish rank 11th in college basketball by averaging 98.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 14th in college basketball, allowing 69.4 points per 100 possessions.
• Notre Dame wins the turnover battle by 2.7 per game, committing 15.1 (166th in college basketball) while its opponents average 17.8.

Florida State Performance Insights

• The Seminoles are outscoring opponents by 18.2 points per game, with a +510 scoring differential overall. They put up 89.4 points per game (second in college basketball) and give up 71.2 per contest (318th in college basketball).
• The 34.6 rebounds per game Florida State accumulates rank 65th in the nation, 1.5 more than the 33.1 its opponents collect.
• Florida State hits 8.8 three-pointers per game (18th in college basketball) at a 36.1% rate (24th in college basketball), compared to the 5.6 per game its opponents make, at a 31.4% rate.
• Florida State has come up on top in the turnover battle by 5.6 per game, committing 10.7 (eighth in college basketball) while forcing 16.3 (132nd in college basketball).

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