Saturday’s contest that pits the No. 2 Duke Blue Devils (25-3, 16-1 ACC) versus the Florida State Seminoles (16-12, 7-10 ACC) at Cameron Indoor Stadium is expected to be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 83-62 in favor of Duke, who is heavy favorites by our model. Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET on March 1.

According to our computer prediction, Florida State is a good bet to cover the spread, which is currently listed at 23.5. The two sides are projected to go under the 148.5 total.

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Duke vs. Florida State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV: ACC Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Durham, North Carolina
• Venue: Cameron Indoor Stadium
• Line: Duke -23.5
• Point total: 148.5
• Moneyline (to win): Duke -10000, Florida State +2400

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Duke vs. Florida State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Duke 83, Florida State 62

Spread & Total Prediction for Duke vs. Florida State

• Pick ATS: Florida State (+23.5)
• Pick OU: Under (148.5)

Duke has gone 18-10-0 against the spread, while Florida State’s ATS record this season is 15-13-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Blue Devils are 14-14-0 and the Seminoles are 13-15-0. The teams score an average of 158.4 points per game, 9.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 contests, Duke is 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall while Florida State has gone 3-7 against the spread and 3-7 overall.

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Duke Performance Insights

• The Blue Devils have a +604 scoring differential, topping opponents by 21.6 points per game. They’re putting up 82.6 points per game to rank 18th in college basketball and are giving up 61.0 per contest to rank eighth in college basketball.
• The 35.7 rebounds per game Duke averages rank 26th in college basketball, and are 9.0 more than the 26.7 its opponents record per contest.
• Duke makes 3.8 more threes per game than the opposition, 10.4 (18th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.6.
• The Blue Devils rank first in college basketball by averaging 110.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are fourth in college basketball, allowing 81.8 points per 100 possessions.
• Duke has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 9.1 per game (14th in college basketball action) while forcing 10.7 (255th in college basketball).

Florida State Performance Insights

• The Seminoles put up 75.8 points per game (126th in college basketball) while giving up 72.3 per outing (197th in college basketball). They have a +99 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 3.5 points per game.
• Florida State pulls down 31.3 rebounds per game (222nd in college basketball), compared to the 31.4 of its opponents.
• Florida State makes 1.8 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 6.2 (328th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.0.
• Florida State has come up on top in the turnover battle by 1.3 per game, committing 12.3 (281st in college basketball) while forcing 13.6 (41st in college basketball).

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