How to Pick the Hurricanes vs. Lightning Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – October 11

Published 8:39 pm Wednesday, October 9, 2024

Before the puck drops at 7:00 PM ET in Friday’s contest between the Carolina Hurricanes and the Tampa Bay Lightning, here are the best bets you should be thinking about, whether you’re looking to make a single wager or have your sights set on building a parlay.

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Hurricanes vs. Lightning Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 6.5 (model projecting 6.4 goals)

  • In 39 of 93 games last season, Carolina and its opponent combined for more than 6.5 goals.
  • Tampa Bay played 44 games last season with more than 6.5 goals.
  • These teams averaged a combined 6.9 goals per game, 0.4 more than this one’s over/under.
  • These two teams together gave up 5.8 goals per game, 0.7 fewer than this one’s over/under.
  • The Lightning were fifth in the league in goals scored, compared to the eighth-ranked Hurricanes.
  • This game features the league’s 22nd-ranked (Lightning) and fourth-ranked (Hurricanes) teams last season in terms of defense.

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Moneyline Pick

Hurricanes Moneyline: -133

  • The Hurricanes won 63.5% of their games last season when they were a moneyline favorite (54-31).
  • Carolina went 48-27 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -133 or shorter.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Hurricanes’ implied win probability is 57.1%.

Lightning Moneyline: +112

  • The Lightning claimed an upset victory in 15, or 42.9%, of the 35 games they played as an underdog last season.
  • Tampa Bay won eight of its 19 games last season when an underdog by +112 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline implies a 47.2% chance to win for the Lightning.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Carolina 4, Tampa Bay 2

Hurricanes Points Leaders (2023-24)

  • Sebastian Aho was one of Carolina’s top contributors last season, posting 89 points. He averaged 0.4 goals per game, shooting 16.7%.
  • Having scored 33 goals and adding 34 assists a year ago, Seth Jarvis was a key piece on offense for Carolina over the course 81 games.
  • With 56 points in 81 games last season (10 goals and 46 assists), Shayne Gostisbehere was an important part of Carolina’s offensive efforts.
  • In 42 games played last season, Pyotr Kochetkov (23-13-4) allowed 92 goals.

Lightning Points Leaders (2023-24)

  • Nikita Kucherov was a top offensive contributor for his squad last season with 144 points (1.8 per game). He totaled 44 goals and 100 assists in 81 games (playing 21:24 per game).
  • Brayden Point made a big impact for Tampa Bay last season with 90 points, thanks to 46 goals and 44 assists.
  • Jake Guentzel scored 30 goals and contributed 47 assists for Tampa Bay, giving him a point total of 77.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy’s record was 30-20-2 last season, allowing 148 goals (2.9 goals against average) and having a .900 save percentage (40th in the league).

Hurricanes’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
10/11/2024 Lightning Home -133
10/12/2024 Lightning Away
10/15/2024 Devils Home
10/18/2024 Penguins Away

Lightning’s Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
10/11/2024 Hurricanes Away +112
10/12/2024 Hurricanes Home
10/15/2024 Canucks Home
10/17/2024 Golden Knights Home

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Carolina vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

  • Date: Friday, October 11, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Location: Raleigh, North Carolina
  • Venue: PNC Arena

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