The game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Tampa Bay Lightning at 7:00 PM ET on Saturday has lots of betting possibilities to consider. With that in mind, here’s an in-depth look at our best bets, along with picks and projections.

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Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 6.5 (model projecting 6.2 goals)

• This season, seven of Toronto’s 22 games have gone over Saturday’s total of 6.5 goals.
• This season, 10 of Tampa Bay’s games have featured more than 6.5 goals.
• The Maple Leafs score 2.95 goals per game, compared to the Lightning’s average of 3.77, adding up to 0.2 more goals than this contest’s over/under of 6.5.
• This game’s total is 0.9 more than the 5.6 goals these two teams concede per game combined.

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Moneyline Pick

Maple Leafs Moneyline: -121

• The Maple Leafs are 9-7 this season when listed as a moneyline favorite.
• In games it has played with moneyline odds of -121 or shorter, Toronto has put together an 8-6 record (winning 57.1% of its games).
• Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Maple Leafs have an implied probability of 54.8% to win.

Lightning Moneyline: +101

• In eight games as the moneyline underdog, Tampa Bay has achieved the upset four times.
• The Lightning have a pair of victories in games with moneyline odds of +101 or longer (in four chances).
• Tampa Bay has a 49.8% implied probability to win this game.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Tampa Bay 4, Toronto 2

Maple Leafs Points Leaders

• One of Toronto’s top offensive options this season is Mitchell Marner, who has recorded 29 points in 22 games.
• William Nylander is another of Toronto’s important contributors currently with 24 total points (14 goals and 10 assists) to his name.
• On 73 shots (for nine goals) and 11 assists, John Tavares has recorded 20 points this season.
• Anthony Stolarz (7-4-2) has a 2.3 goals against average and a save percentage of .921 for Toronto.

Lightning Points Leaders

• Nikita Kucherov is a key offensive option for Tampa Bay, with 33 points this season. He has put up 12 goals and 21 assists in 22 games.
• Brandon Hagel’s 27 points this season, including 10 goals and 17 assists, make him one of the top offensive threats for Tampa Bay.
• Tampa Bay’s Anthony Cirelli has 23 points (10 goals, 13 assists) this season.
• Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy is 10-7-1 this season, collecting 425 saves and allowing 42 goals (2.4 goals against average) with a .910 save percentage (21st in the league).

Maple Leafs’ Schedule

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Lightning’s Schedule

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Toronto vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

• Date: Saturday, November 30, 2024
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• How to watch on TV: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Location: Tampa, Florida
• Venue: Amalie Arena

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