How to Pick the Lightning vs. Senators Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – February 4
Published 12:39 am Tuesday, February 4, 2025
Before the puck drops at 7:00 PM ET in Tuesday’s contest between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Ottawa Senators, here are the best bets you should be considering, whether you’re wanting to place a single wager or have your sights set on building a parlay.
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Lightning vs. Senators Picks
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Total Pick
Pick OU: Over 5.5 (model projecting 5.9 goals)
- Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to outscore Tuesday’s total (5.5 goals) 27 times this season.
- There have been 23 Ottawa games with over 5.5 goals this season.
- The total for this game (5.5) is 0.8 less than the combined scoring averages for the Lightning (3.45) and Senators (2.87).
- The 5.4 goals per game these two teams allow are 0.1 less than the over/under set for this contest.
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Moneyline Pick
Lightning Moneyline: -179
- The Lightning have won 60.0% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (21-14).
- In games it has played with moneyline odds of -179 or shorter, Tampa Bay is 6-6 (winning 50.0% of the time).
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Lightning have an implied probability of 64.2% to win.
Senators Moneyline: +150
- Ottawa has 12 wins when playing as the moneyline underdog this season (which has happened 24 times).
- The Senators have a pair of victories in games with moneyline odds of +150 or longer (in five chances).
- Ottawa’s implied probability to win is 40.0% based on the moneyline odds.
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Score Prediction
Prediction:
Tampa Bay 4, Ottawa 2
Lightning Points Leaders
- Nikita Kucherov is one of Tampa Bay’s leading contributors this season with 75 points. He has averaged 0.5 goals per game, shooting 14%.
- Having scored 22 goals and adding 32 assists, Brandon Hagel is a strong contributor for Tampa Bay through 51 games.
- On 115 shots (for 28 goals) and 25 assists, Brayden Point has created 53 points this season.
- In the 39 games Andrei Vasilevskiy has played this season, his save percentage is .917, the seventh-best in the league.
Senators Points Leaders
- Tim Stutzle’s 17 goals and 36 assists in 53 matchups give him 53 points on the season, making him a key part of his team’s offense.
- Drake Batherson is a key contributor for Ottawa, with 43 total points this season. He has netted 15 goals and provided 28 assists in 53 games.
- Ottawa’s Brady Tkachuk has 41 points, courtesy of 20 goals (first on team) and 21 assists (fifth).
- Linus Ullmark’s record stands at 12-7-2 on the season, giving up 51 goals (2.4 goals against average) and compiling 550 saves with a .915 save percentage (11th in the league).
Lightning’s Schedule
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Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/28/2025 | Blackhawks | L 4-1 | Home | -424 |
1/30/2025 | Kings | W 3-0 | Home | -154 |
2/1/2025 | Islanders | L 3-2 | Home | -170 |
2/4/2025 | Senators | – | Home | -179 |
2/6/2025 | Senators | – | Home | – |
2/8/2025 | Red Wings | – | Away | – |
2/9/2025 | Canadiens | – | Away | – |
Senators’ Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/30/2025 | Capitals | W 5-4 | Home | -111 |
2/1/2025 | Wild | W 6-0 | Home | -144 |
2/3/2025 | Predators | W 5-2 | Away | +114 |
2/4/2025 | Lightning | – | Away | +150 |
2/6/2025 | Lightning | – | Away | – |
2/8/2025 | Panthers | – | Away | – |
2/22/2025 | Canadiens | – | Home | – |
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Tampa Bay vs. Ottawa Game Info
- Date: Tuesday, February 4, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- How to watch on TV: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Location: Tampa, Florida
- Venue: Amalie Arena
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